01TikTok fee 6%
Profit — $1,175.90Margin — 35.4%Break-even — $20.25
TikTok Shop seller profit forecast
TikTok Shop Profit Calculator
Start with five simple numbers. See profit, margin and a store forecast instantly. Add advanced assumptions only when you need more precision.
5free SKUs12forecast monthsPDFincluded
01 · Market model
TikTok Shop fee6%
Referral fee default: 6%Beginner first. Analyst depth when you want it.Simple keeps the core inputs. Advanced reveals discounts, fulfilment and returns for every SKU at once. If a market needs category-specific fee setup, that required field stays visible in both modes.
6 months · Forecast01 · Products
Your products
Start with one SKU. Add more when you want a full-store forecast.
5 beginner inputs: price · product cost · creator commission · ad cost per sale · monthly orders
Settings
Monthly order growth
TikTok fees
Referral fees are commonly 5%–6% by category; this calculator uses 6% by default. Confirm the current rate in Seller Center.
- Referral fee default: 6%
- Some categories: 5%
What the advanced fields mean
Visual forecast
Charts stay clean by default. Hover for exact monthly values; the table below keeps every number available for screenshots and PDF exports.
Profit forecast
Three plain scenarios. The number means how your order volume changes each month, not how profit itself changes.
DeclineStableGrowth
| Scenario | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decline | $1,175.90 | $1,117.11 | $1,061.25 | $1,008.19 | $957.78 | $909.89 |
| Stable | $1,175.90 | $1,175.90 | $1,175.90 | $1,175.90 | $1,175.90 | $1,175.90 |
| Growth | $1,175.90 | $1,293.49 | $1,422.84 | $1,565.12 | $1,721.64 | $1,893.80 |
Only final values are labelled on the chart; all exact values are shown in the table.
Where each sale goes
Per-order economics
Average retained revenue / order$33.25
COGS$9.55
TikTok fees$2.02
Creator$3.33
Ads$5.00
Fulfilment$1.50
Return impact + Other$0.10
Net profit / order$11.76
Revenue vs costs vs profit
Stable revenue · Stable costs · Stable profit
Product margin ranking
Expected margin % · Category / product
1. Product 135.4%
United States · Market pulse
Country-aware demand signals to help you decide what to investigate next. Market popularity is not the same as profit — your highest-margin SKU is calculated separately from your own numbers.
💄
$322.56M Aug revenueDemand leaderBeauty & Personal Care
Kalodata ranked Beauty first in its August 2026 US category table.
👗
+12.3%Fastest top-5 growthWomenswear & Underwear
Fastest growth among the August top five categories in the ranking.
⚽
$143.32M Aug revenueLarge growth laneSports & Outdoor
The category also gained strongly from spring into summer.
📈
35.4% · Expected margin %Your best marginProduct 1
Your best margin
💄Beauty & Personal Care👗Womenswear⚽Sports & Outdoor🏠Home & Appliances
Data window: August / latest summer 2026 category snapshots. Sources: Kalodata US August 2026 ranking · Colaba summer 2026 category data. Margin note: demand, GMV and unit growth do not prove seller profitability; your fourth card uses your own economics.
Independent planning tool. Not affiliated with or endorsed by TikTok. Market fees, product-category rates, taxes, incentive missions and settlement rules can change. Where a market uses category-based commission rates, the calculator clearly asks you to confirm or override the category rate. Seller Center remains authoritative.