01TikTok fee 9%
Profit — €1,078.25Margin — 32.4%Break-even — €20.99
TikTok Shop seller profit forecast
TikTok Shop Profit Calculator
Start with five simple numbers. See profit, margin and a store forecast instantly. Add advanced assumptions only when you need more precision.
5free SKUs12forecast monthsPDFincluded
01 · Market model
TikTok Shop fee9%
Standard commission: 9%Beginner first. Analyst depth when you want it.Simple keeps the core inputs. Advanced reveals discounts, fulfilment and returns for every SKU at once. If a market needs category-specific fee setup, that required field stays visible in both modes.
6 months · Forecast01 · Products
Your products
Start with one SKU. Add more when you want a full-store forecast.
5 beginner inputs: price · product cost · creator commission · ad cost per sale · monthly orders
Settings
Monthly order growth
TikTok fees
9% standard commission; eligible reduced categories can use 7%. Confirm category and account-specific rates in Seller Center.
- Standard commission: 9%
- Eligible categories: 7%
What the advanced fields mean
Visual forecast
Charts stay clean by default. Hover for exact monthly values; the table below keeps every number available for screenshots and PDF exports.
Profit forecast
Three plain scenarios. The number means how your order volume changes each month, not how profit itself changes.
DeclineStableGrowth
| Scenario | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | M6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decline | €1,078.25 | €1,024.34 | €973.12 | €924.46 | €878.24 | €834.33 |
| Stable | €1,078.25 | €1,078.25 | €1,078.25 | €1,078.25 | €1,078.25 | €1,078.25 |
| Growth | €1,078.25 | €1,186.08 | €1,304.68 | €1,435.15 | €1,578.67 | €1,736.53 |
Only final values are labelled on the chart; all exact values are shown in the table.
Where each sale goes
Per-order economics
Average retained revenue / order€33.25
COGS€9.55
TikTok fees€2.99
Creator€3.33
Ads€5.00
Fulfilment€1.50
Return impact + Other€0.10
Net profit / order€10.78
Revenue vs costs vs profit
Stable revenue · Stable costs · Stable profit
Product margin ranking
Expected margin % · Category / product
1. Product 132.4%
Ireland · Market pulse
Country-aware demand signals to help you decide what to investigate next. Market popularity is not the same as profit — your highest-margin SKU is calculated separately from your own numbers.
🏠
Leading regional categoryEU demand benchmarkHome & Living
Use as a research direction rather than a country-level GMV claim.
💄
Strong regional demandCross-market stapleBeauty
Demonstrable beauty products remain highly transferable across TikTok Shop markets.
📱
Regional watch listNext demand tierElectronics + Fashion
Validate the category against local competition and your own unit economics.
📈
32.4% · Expected margin %Your best marginProduct 1
Your best margin
🏠Home & Living💄Beauty👗Fashion📱Electronics
Data window: Latest public European category benchmark. Source / methodology: Country trend data · Ireland. Sources: TikTok Shop Europe expansion. Margin note: demand, GMV and unit growth do not prove seller profitability; your fourth card uses your own economics.
Independent planning tool. Not affiliated with or endorsed by TikTok. Market fees, product-category rates, taxes, incentive missions and settlement rules can change. Where a market uses category-based commission rates, the calculator clearly asks you to confirm or override the category rate. Seller Center remains authoritative.